Flood Watch in place to start the week

Yesterday - Flag Day - most of the heaviest convective activity skirted Mecklenburg County. The airport in Clarksville saw just over a quarter-inch of rain while South Hill's airport gauge recorded a scant 0.02 inch of liquid. That looks to change today (Sunday) as the week begins. Check out this graphic:

The left pane shows the potential for up to three inches of rain by Wednesday morning. Meanwhile green shading on the right pane indicates a Flood Watch in place into the wee hours of Monday morning. The culprit? A stationary front which will wobble north and south across the region.

Sunshine this morning will help fuel afternoon storms given the sticky humidity in place. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for severe weather today. Potential threats include damaging straight line winds and even a small - but not zero - chance of a tornado along that stalled frontal boundary. And, of course, lightning and very heavy rain can be expected this afternoon into the evening hours. Keep at least two weather warning sources (NOAA weather radio, local TV/radio, smartphone apps, etc.) close at hand later today.

Similar conditions will repeat on Monday and Tuesday, with afternoon temperatures topping out in the low to mid-80s all three days under mostly cloudy skies. Wednesday looks to provide a break in the pattern as that front pushes north, but sunny skies will lead to local thermometers soaring into the 90s for Hump Day. 

Another cold front will swoop through on Thursday, bulldozing away some of the humidity but creating another potential for severe weather. Then the end of the work week looks to be sunny and hot, typical late June conditions for Mecklenburg County.