Friday, June 5, 2026

The 90s are back in town for the weekend

After another cool morning during which local thermometers dipped into the mid-50s, Mecklenburg County will see highs at or just above 90º return this Friday afternoon. Humidity levels will also be on the increase, so prepare for some of the first sticky days of the summer of 2026.

Both Saturday and Sunday look to reach that level of heat, with the latter weekend day also having the potential for afternoon thunderstorms thanks to an approaching cold front. On Sunday the area is under a Marginal Risk - level 1 of 5 - for severe weather, which could mean damaging straight line winds from thunderstorm outflows. Unfortunately not much rain is expected over the next several days, adding to the drought concerns. 

Many will take advantage of this summer weather to enjoy outdoor activities. Keep in mind that it's always wise to keep an eye on the sky for changing conditions. Storms can build quickly, and even a run-of-the-mill summer thunderstorm produces lightning. That weather feature poses much more danger than many folks realize. 

This two panel graphic illustrates one commonly misunderstood feature of lightning: it can strike and injure people even when it's not raining at a location.

More information is available at this National Weather Service website. And remember, "When thunder roars, go indoors" means just that. Staying outdoors while thunder is audible is risky business.


Wednesday, June 3, 2026

Sunshine prevails for the midweek period

Local sites experienced a very chilly Tuesday night for June. Several stations recorded Wednesday morning lows in the upper 40s, but Clarksville won the "prize" with a 45º reading. High pressure centered overhead kept winds light to non-existent, combining with clear skies to allow yesterday's warmth to escape into space.

That cool air also fostered fog across the New River Valley and into West Virginia, thanks to Tuesday evening's storms which rumbled across those areas and dampened the ground. The fog is evident in this morning's visible satellite image:

Meanwhile, Mecklenburg County is seeing clear skies, with abundant sunshine expected all day. Given the dry air in place, temperatures will rebound from the 40s all the way into the low 80s this afternoon. A northerly breeze will keep the air stirred for a pleasant feeling to along with the warmth.

Tonight will also feature clear skies and light winds, but local thermometers will halt their nocturnal drop in the mid-50s. Thursday looks to also be sunny as that high pressure area continues to sprawl across the eastern half of the nation. Tomorrow's highs will climb into the upper 80s, but humidity values will remain comfortable.

As for the weekend, prepare for the 90s. They're on their way back!


Monday, June 1, 2026

Welcome to the start of the Atlantic hurricane season

In addition to today - Monday - being the first day of meteorological summer (see Sunday's blogpost) it also marks the official beginning of the Atlantic basin's hurricane season. Defined as the period June 1st through November 30th, this is the climatological time of year when tropical weather system development is most likely. Here is this year's seasonal outlook from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA):

Of course, these numbers are probabilities and aren't hard and fast or set in stone. Nor does this outlook have any bearing on whether (or how many) storms will affect land. Moreover, it only takes one storm to cause destruction from winds or flooding across a given area.

Meanwhile, a cold front will push through Mecklenburg County later this morning. Mostly sunny skies will prevail, but there could be a stray shower or two this afternoon. Temperatures will climb from this morning's lows near 60º to a daily high in the low 80s.

Local thermometer readings will sag into the mid- and upper 50s by dawn Tuesday. Tomorrow then looks to be sunny with a northeasterly breeze. Afternoon highs will top out in the mid-70s, a few degrees below the average for the beginning of June.


Sunday, May 31, 2026

Benign weather conditions with a late week warmup

Following today's - Sunday's - brilliant blue skies and highs in the upper 70s the upcoming work week weather looks pretty calm. Another cold front will push south through the area Monday, bringing a very slight chance of some scattered showers. After that, a stretch of dry weather lies ahead for Mecklenburg County. 

Today marks both the end of May and the end of meteorological spring. This rather busy graphic illustrates the difference between meteorological and astronomical seasons, the latter which we've been taught with references to equinoxes and solstices:

Suffice it to say that the former is based upon the actual calendars we all use. June, July, and August comprise the hottest part of the year, thus those three months are labeled "summer" by the meteorological community.

As for temperatures, this week begins a bit cooler than average before warming back into the 90s by Friday. The heat shall return!


Friday, May 29, 2026

Sunny, dry, and pleasant for the last weekend of May

The persistent pattern which brought a multi-day episode of clouds and much-needed rain has moved on, with the result being a pleasant weather forecast for the last weekend of May. This Friday morning began with temperatures in the upper 50s and will feature afternoon highs in the low 80s under sunny skies. Those readings are pretty much spot on for late May averages in Mecklenburg County.

Saturday will look much the same but with a few more clouds as yet another cold front dives south across the region. Following afternoon high temperatures in the low 80s, cooler air behind this next boundary will drop tomorrow night's local thermometer readings to near the 50º mark. Sunday will thus begin a bit chilly before warming into the upper 70s under sunny skies.

This new weather pattern will also stick around a while, dropping cold fronts south from the Great Lakes region which will continue to usher in cool dry air. This is known as an "Omega Block", with upper air currents resembling that Greek letter's shape:

The upside to this pattern is continued pleasant weather conditions. The downside is that, despite a mention of "damp" conditions across the Eastern U.S. per the graphic, rainfall needed to continue alleviating the local drought conditions will be scarce for a while.



Wednesday, May 27, 2026

One last hurrah for clouds and rain, then cooler and drier conditions arrive

Today - Wednesday - will be the final day of this late May extended stretch of clouds and rain. The latter has been very welcome given the drought situation, and more precipitation over the next few weeks would be helpful. However, one factor which may not be as welcome is the humidity. Dew points in the 70s bring a very uncomfortable feeling to the air:

Today's high temperature in the mid-80s doesn't sound bad until the stickiness is factored in. A stationary front which has bobbled north and south across Virginia since last week is hung up near the DC area this morning. That boundary will dip southward later today ahead of a vigorous cold front diving down from the Great Lakes region. 

The overall result will be more showers and storms, with most of that activity reaching Mecklenburg County near or after the dinner hour. The Storm Prediction Center has the local area under a Marginal Risk - level 1 of 5 - for severe weather today, so stay attuned to weather sources and heed any warnings which are issued.

Cooler and drier air will move in behind that cold front via northerly breezes. Thursday looks to be sunny with afternoon highs again in the mid-80s...but without the sticky humidity. There may be a stray shower or storm tomorrow, but those will be few and far between. By dawn Friday temperatures will drop back into the upper 50s ahead of what looks like some very nice weekend weather.



Monday, May 25, 2026

A quick Memorial Day look at the weather

 Those low clouds will stick around today - Monday - through much of Tuesday, with another inch or more of liquid collecting in local rain gauges by tomorrow evening. Temperatures are edging back up toward late May averages, with afternoon highs both days peaking near the 80º mark. Thunder rumbles could occur either day, but nothing severe is expected.

Meanwhile, today is Memorial Day, a time to reflect and remember those who have died during service to our nation. At 3:00 p.m. local time there will be a National Moment of Remembrance, a minute of silence. Even though today's weather conditions may hinder planned outdoor activities, take time to remember and honor the fallen.