Originally the majority of this work week looked dry with mostly clear skies and much warmer temperatures. A sneaky low pressure system may change that forecast starting later today (Wednesday).
The National Hurricane Center has been keeping an eye on a low pressure system that could form off the southeastern U.S. coast along a stalled cold front. As of this morning the center of that system is looking like it'll stay over land. Thus it no longer appears to have tropical characteristics, but the system will still mess up the late week forecast.
Regardless of that, today will be sunny and warmer with afternoon highs reaching the mid-80s in Mecklenburg County. Light breezes will blow from the south, ushering in more surface moisture and thus increasing the humidity. Upper air smoke from the Canadian wildfires has mostly moved away, but there is enough remaining to help skies appear somewhat milky today.
Beginning tonight there is a fair amount of uncertainty among the forecast models as to where the center of that low pressure will track. The large scale models show it moving up the I-95 corridor from Georgia through the Carolinas, exiting off the coast over the Outer Banks on Friday morning. That would keep clouds from reaching the local area until late tonight, with precipitation delayed until Thursday morning. That scenario would result in liquid totals looking like this:
However, short range models have this low center tracking further west over the Piedmont region. That would mean cloudy skies locally by the dinner hour this evening, with rain arriving around midnight. This scenario would prove much wetter than the one described above. Either way, Thursday will be cloudy and damp around Mecklenburg County, with afternoon temperatures only reaching the mid-70s.
Most of us would prefer definitive forecasts with no uncertainty, but that's just not how Mother Nature works. Keep tuned to local forecasts today for updates on these scenarios.
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