This - Wednesday - morning's conditions don't look to improve much the rest of the day. The jet stream flowing around an upper level long wave trough over America's heartland this morning is parallel to a surface cold front over the Appalachian mountains. Thus, that surface boundary isn't being pushed along and will stall out west of Mecklenburg county today.
A low pressure center will develop along the cold front over the western Carolinas this morning and will slowly edge eastward toward the coast. The overall result will be cool and wet conditions today and Thursday. Afternoon temperatures both days will only climb into the mid-50s, accompanied by significant precipitation totals. Here's the NWS Wakefield overall rainfall expected from this event, with counties east of I-95 under a Flood Watch:
As that low pressure reaches the coast Thursday morning it will finally drag the cold front through Mecklenburg county. Winds will then swap around out of the north and the rain will slowly decrease tomorrow afternoon. The storm system will intensify as it reaches the warm Atlantic waters, boosting wind gusts to 20 mph locally tomorrow. Skies may clear enough to catch a glimpse of Thursday's sunset, but expect most of tomorrow to remain overcast.
Friday looks to be sunny and warmer, but afternoon highs in the mid-60s will be tempered by northwesterly wind gusts over 20 mph. The Easter weekend? Details will be in Friday's blog entry, but it's looking very nice!
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