Wednesday, April 29, 2026

A midweek precipitation "fizzle"?

The Storm Prediction Center has blanketed most of Virginia with a Marginal Risk - level 1 of 5 - for severe weather today (Wednesday):

A low pressure center will cross northern Virginia later today, dragging a cold front across the state. Temperatures across Mecklenburg County will rise from this morning's upper 50s to at or near 70ยบ this afternoon. Most numerical forecast models are now showing much less rain than was evident in earlier model runs, and the likelihood of strong to severe storms for the local area appears to have decreased. Still, it would be prudent to keep an eye on the sky this afternoon, with an ear tuned to any weather warnings that may be issued.

Although cloudy skies will be the rule, most model forecasts indicate only light showers arriving mid-afternoon. Local rain gauges may be hard-pressed to record even a tenth of an inch of liquid. The bulk of the rain from this system looks to occur near the low pressure center, dowsing areas along and north of I-64.

Once that cold front passes through this evening skies will clear by midnight. Local thermometer readings will drop into the low 50s by dawn Thursday. Tomorrow will then feature sunny skies, a gentle northerly breeze, and afternoon highs in the low 70s. The weather looks to be very pleasant for the final day of April (already??).

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