Mecklenburg VA Weather Blog
Local weather commentary for Mecklenburg county Virginia
Wednesday, April 2, 2025
The Wedge is back, temporarily
Monday, March 31, 2025
Storms late Monday afternoon, then sunny Tuesday
The Storm Prediction Center has backed off a bit on its convective outlook for today (Monday). However, Mecklenburg County is still under a Slight Risk - level 2 of 5 - for severe storms, which will be knocking on the doorstep at or just after suppertime today. The main hazards will be strong straight line winds, always dangerous lightning, and heavy rain (up to an inch across the region). A tornado or two is still a possibility. Storms will continue into the late evening hours.
With this potential for severe weather folks should have more than one way to receive weather warnings. And remember that a "Watch" means conditions are ripe for severe weather, while a "Warning" means it is happening now and it's time to take shelter inside a solid building (not a car port, garage, or mobile home).Temperatures which began this morning in the low to mid-60s will top out near 80º this afternoon. Skies will be mostly cloudy, but some sunshine is likely to appear ahead of the storms' arrival. Dew points are in the 60s, a very sticky range for the last day of March.
The actual surface cold front will finally cross the county after midnight tonight. Tuesday will then dawn sunny, cooler, and less sticky. Temperatures near 50º at sunrise (6:59 a.m. to begin the month of April) will climb into the mid-60s tomorrow afternoon, accompanied by a northerly breeze. Wednesday also looks to be dry and sunny, with more rain expected later in the week.
Sunday, March 30, 2025
March may well go out like a lion!
The warmth and moisture being pumped into the region between an early season Bermuda High and an approaching storm system could result in severe weather Monday, March 31st. This is the Storm Prediction Center's convective outlook for tomorrow, showing an Enhanced Risk (level 3 out of 5) for Mecklenburg County:
All the S-L-I-M ingredients will be present in relative abundance: Shear, Lift, Instability, and Moisture. Thus the potential threats will include damaging straight line winds, large hail, and possible tornadoes. It would be wise to maintain situational awareness and have at least two methods of receiving weather warnings close by (NOAA weather radio, local TV/radio, smartphones, etc.).Friday, March 28, 2025
The final March weekend will feel more like May
A warm front (red scalloped line on graphic) ahead of the next storm system will push north of Mecklenburg County today.
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Forecast surface map 8 p.m. Friday |
Thus, after morning cloudiness the sky will turn mostly sunny this afternoon. Temperatures will soar into the mid-70s as southwesterly winds - gusting over 20 mph - pump warmer air into the county. That wind direction will also bring in more moisture, helping local dew points to climb out of their desert-dry regime.
All eyes are then on the potential for severe weather Monday as a strong cold front punches into the warm moist air. Sunday's blogpost will take a closer look at that.
Wednesday, March 26, 2025
Sunshine and cool temperatures for the midweek period
This Wednesday morning began with temperatures of 36, 36, 38, and 39 degrees respectively at Clarksville, Chase City, Boydton, and South Hill weather stations. Coupled with this afternoon's forecast high in the low 60s today will turn out slightly cooler than average. At this point in March those values are 40º for lows and 65º for highs.
Abundant sunshine and continued dry air will dominate conditions both today and Thursday, with today also featuring some gusty winds. Tomorrow looks to begin even cooler, with local thermometers dipping very close to the freezing mark. That could mean scattered frost around the county, a reminder that it's still too early in the season to plant sensitive flowers or other vegetation. Thursday afternoon's temperatures will then top out in the low 60s.
The recent windiness is a result of the jet stream continuing to dive southward across the eastern U.S. in a series of upper air troughs. These dips foster low pressure systems at the surface, most of which have zoomed eastward across the Great Lakes region as they intensified. Differences in air pressure between these lows (red "L"s on weather maps) and high pressure (blue "H"s) create a pressure gradient, with stronger gradients equalling stronger winds as illustrated here:
These stronger winds are common in the spring as winter's chill struggles to hang on while heat from the equatorial region begins its seasonal march northward. That clash can also result in severe weather, which may well arrive locally early next week. Stay tuned!Monday, March 24, 2025
Brief dampness to start the work week
Showers will arrive mid-morning today (Monday), but the light rain totals won't alleviate the continued dryness plaguing Mecklenburg County. A low pressure system crossing the Great Lakes region will drag a cold front through the area this evening. Ahead of the boundary rain looks to dampen the ground between 10:00 a.m. and 5:00 p.m., with local gauges likely recording only a quarter-inch of liquid.
Temperatures will top out in the low 60s today under mostly cloudy skies. However, the overcast will break up enough to afford peeks of the sun by the dinner hour. The cold front itself will cross through near sunset, swapping today's southwesterly winds around out of the west.
Tuesday will then begin sunny with temperatures starting in the low 40s before climbing into the mid-60s tomorrow afternoon. By sunset (at 7:31 p.m.) clouds will overspread the skies ahead of an approaching upper level shortwave trough. More light rain will then occur Tuesday evening into early Wednesday morning, with liquid totals again not being impressive enough to break the drought.
Meanwhile, the waters of Bugg Island Lake / Kerr Reservoir are slowly warming, having reached the low 50s at this point in March:
Happy Monday!